Live
Midterms: Republican share of Black vote? — On Nov 6, 2026
Starts:Sep 16, 2026, 9:00 PMEnds:Nov 6, 2026, 4:59 PM
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Total volume
$12.5K
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
8
Platforms
1
Markets
1
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Above 8% Favorite | 83.0%Kalshi | $2.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 10% | 38.0%Kalshi | $2.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 12% | 17.0%Kalshi | $1.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 14% | 7.0%Kalshi | $3.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 16% | 7.0%Kalshi | $1.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 18% | 7.0%Kalshi | $1.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 8%Favorite
83.0%Best · Kalshi$2.4K
Above 10%
38.0%Best · Kalshi$2.0K
Above 12%
17.0%Best · Kalshi$1.6K
Above 14%
7.0%Best · Kalshi$3.2K
Above 16%
7.0%Best · Kalshi$1.3K
Above 18%
7.0%Best · Kalshi$1.9K
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
The value is the percentage shown in the Republican (or Rep.) column of the aggregate Black row in the national U.S. House exit poll table. The primary resolution source is the CNN figure displayed at exactly 12:00 PM ET on November 6, 2026. If unavailable, CNN remains the primary source for 24 hours after that time. If it remains unavailable, use CBS News followed by ABC News through 11:59 PM ET on November 7, 2026.
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