Midterms: Trump approval in the exit poll? — On Nov 6, 2026
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| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Above 34% Favorite | 82.0%Kalshi | $220 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 36% | 67.0%Kalshi | $200 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
The value is the sum of the percentages of all voters shown for "Strongly approve" and "Somewhat approve" on the question asking voters' opinion of Donald Trump as president in the national U.S. House exit poll. If those two figures are not shown separately, the value is the percentage of all voters shown for "Approve" on that question. The primary resolution source is the CNN figure displayed at exactly 12:00 PM ET on November 6, 2026. If unavailable, CNN remains the primary source for 24 hours after that time. If it remains unavailable, use CBS News followed by ABC News through 11:59 PM ET on November 7, 2026.
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