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Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced? — Before 2027

Starts:Jan 3, 2026, 9:00 PMEnds:Dec 1, 2026, 3:00 PM
AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Politics favorite hit rate95.3% (1,754)
Total volume
$205.8K
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
8
Platforms
1
Markets
1

Markets

Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.

Before December 1, 2026
17.0%Best · Kalshi$3.0K
Before November 1, 2026
9.0%Best · Kalshi$5.4K

Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.

An announcement that the Miguel Díaz-Canel will leave the office within the next year is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion. If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves solely because they have died, the associated market will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death). If a last traded price is not available or is not logically consistent, or if the Exchange determines at its sole discretion that the last traded prices prior to death do not represent a fair settlement value, the Outcome Review Committee will be responsible for making a binding determination of fair allocation. Clarification (05/23/26): To clarify, Miguel Díaz-Canel currently holds two positions relevant to this market: First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba and President of Cuba. For purposes of this contract, departure from either position will satisfy the Payout Criterion.

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Category

Politics