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Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals

Starts:Jul 8, 2026, 11:45 PMEnds:Jul 15, 2026, 11:45 PM
AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
ResolvedWinner:St. Louis CardinalsSettled Jul 9, 2026
Sports favorite hit rate71.6% (201,021)
Total volume
$6.0M
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
7
Platforms
3
Markets
18

Markets

Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.

St. Louis CardinalsWinner
WonResult
AzuroNo liquidity34.8%PolymarketNo liquidity99.9%
Milwaukee BrewersEliminated
LostResult
AzuroNo liquidity65.4%PolymarketEliminated
Cardinals wins by over 4.5 runs
LostResult
Cardinals wins by over 5.5 runs
LostResult
Cardinals wins by over 6.5 runs
LostResult

AI-generated summary, may be inaccurate.

The headline market covers the July 8 meeting between the Milwaukee Brewers and St. Louis Cardinals, with the moneyline being the deepest pool: Kalshi has taken roughly $189,760 in volume on the winner market, ahead of Polymarket's $40,035 and a nominal Azuro book. Milwaukee is the favourite, priced at 58.0% on Kalshi, 57.5% on Polymarket, and a notably richer 65.4% on Azuro, with a draw option there absorbing 13.3%. Stripping out Azuro's tie, the two US venues effectively agree within half a point, so the cross-platform spread on the Brewers is a slim 0.5 points. Around the moneyline sits a full derivatives board on Kalshi. The total is leaning firmly over, with Over 6.5 runs at 67.0%, Over 7.5 at 56.0% and Over 8.5 at 48.0%, implying a projected total near 8. Milwaukee is expected to do most of the scoring — over 3.5 team runs sits at 62.0% versus 47.0% for St. Louis — consistent with the Brewers' spread of −1.5 pricing at 45.0%. On the mound, Kyle Harrison is favoured for 5+ strikeouts (60.0%) and 16+ outs (55.0%), while Michael McGreevy's strikeout line hovers around 4 (48.0% for 4+, 31.0% for 5+). Overall, the books converge on Milwaukee as a modest favourite in a game expected to feature above-average scoring.

Updated Jul 8, 2026, 7:03 PMclaude-opus-4-7cross-platform favourite flipped

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Category

SportsBaseball