Milwaukee vs Pittsburgh
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pittsburgh Pirates Winner | 99.0%Kalshi | $2.7M | — | — | — | — | — | ||
Robert Gasser: 3+ | 99.0%Kalshi | $211 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Over 11.5 runs scored | 99.0%Kalshi | $28.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Over 12.5 runs scored | 99.0%Kalshi | $48.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Over 13.5 runs scored | 99.0%Kalshi | $79.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Pirates wins by over 6.5 runs | 99.0%Kalshi | $61.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Pirates wins by over 4.5 runs | 99.0%Kalshi | $84.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Over 15.5 runs scored | 99.0%Kalshi | $76.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Over 14.5 runs scored | 99.0%Kalshi | $3.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Over 16.5 runs scored | 99.0%Kalshi | $9.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Over 18.5 runs scored | 99.0%Kalshi | $35.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Over 17.5 runs scored | 99.0%Kalshi | $52.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Pirates wins by over 8.5 runs | 99.0%Kalshi | $19.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Pirates wins by over 7.5 runs | 99.0%Kalshi | $3.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Pirates wins by over 5.5 runs | 55.0%Kalshi | $17.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Milwaukee Brewers Widest spread 0.9% | 0.1%Polymarket | $4.7M | — | — | — | — | — | ||
Robert Gasser: 4+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $1.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Robert Gasser: 5+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $9.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Robert Gasser: 6+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $1.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Robert Gasser: 7+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $800 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Robert Gasser: 8+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $456 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Robert Gasser: 9+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $197 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Over 19.5 runs scored | 1.0%Kalshi | $63.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Over 20.5 runs scored | 1.0%Kalshi | $68.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Pirates wins by over 10.5 runs | 1.0%Kalshi | $13.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Pirates wins by over 9.5 runs | 1.0%Kalshi | $11.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Pirates wins by over 11.5 runs | 1.0%Kalshi | $13.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Over 21.5 runs scored | 1.0%Kalshi | $5.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Over 22.5 runs scored | 1.0%Kalshi | $6.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Pirates wins by over 13.5 runs | 1.0%Kalshi | $13.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Pirates wins by over 12.5 runs | 1.0%Kalshi | $22.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Pirates wins by over 14.5 runs | 1.0%Kalshi | $5.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — |
AI-generated summary, may be inaccurate.
This market covers the MLB regular-season game between the Milwaukee Brewers and Pittsburgh Pirates, originally scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 12:15 PM ET. Each side of the market pays out based on which team wins the game, with both Kalshi and Polymarket applying standard handling for postponements; Polymarket additionally resolves 50-50 in the event of a tie or full cancellation, while Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game is moved more than two days out. Milwaukee is the modest favourite across both venues. Kalshi prices the Brewers at 55.0% with Pittsburgh at 47.0%, while Polymarket has Milwaukee at 53.5% and Pittsburgh at 46.5%. That works out to a roughly 6-to-8 point edge for Milwaukee — a lean rather than a strong conviction, consistent with a competitive divisional matchup. Polymarket also lists a related Yes/No contract trading at 48.5%/51.5%. Cross-platform pricing is tight: Milwaukee's implied probability differs by only 1.5 points between Kalshi (55.0%) and Polymarket (53.5%), and Pittsburgh's by 0.5 points. Liquidity is heavier on Polymarket ($19,415) despite lower traded volume, while Kalshi has attracted more actual turnover. The takeaway is a consensus view of Milwaukee as a slight favourite, with negligible disagreement between platforms.
Discussion (0)
Log in to join the discussion.
No comments yet — start the discussion.