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Milwaukee vs San Francisco

Starts:Jul 29, 2026, 1:45 AMEnds:Aug 5, 2026, 1:45 AM
AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
ResolvedWinner:Milwaukee BrewersSettled Jul 29, 2026
Sports favorite hit rate72.2% (150,588)
Total volume
$6.6M
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
84
Platforms
2
Markets
21

Markets

Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.

Milwaukee BrewersWinner
99.0%Best · Kalshi$2.6M
PolymarketNo liquidity99.9%
Jackson Chourio: 3+
27.0%Best · Kalshi$238
Luis Arraez: 2+
2.0%Best · Kalshi$2.3K
Jackson Chourio: 2+
99.0%Best · Kalshi$296
KalshiNo liquidity99.0%
Brice Turang: 2+
99.0%Best · Kalshi$804
Christian Yelich: 2+
29.0%Best · Kalshi$618
Brice Turang: 3+
99.0%Best · Kalshi$1.1K
KalshiNo liquidity99.0%
Jackson Chourio: 1+
3.0%Best · Kalshi$2.9K
Bryce Eldridge: 2+
1.0%Best · Kalshi$2.4K
Bryce Eldridge: 1+
99.0%Best · Kalshi$8.5K
Milwaukee wins by over 5.5 runs
99.0%Best · Kalshi$51.2K
Milwaukee wins by over 4.5 runs
99.0%Best · Kalshi$32.1K
Garrett Mitchell: 2+
82.0%Best · Kalshi$193
KalshiNo liquidity16.0%
Heliot Ramos: 3+
40.0%Best · Kalshi$336
Jung Hoo Lee: 3+
35.0%Best · Kalshi$309
KalshiNo liquidity15.0%
Willy Adames: 2+
1.0%Best · Kalshi$321
Willy Adames: 3+
16.0%Best · Kalshi$266
Christian Koss: 3+
15.0%Best · Kalshi$224
Brice Turang: 4+
14.0%Best · Kalshi$652
KalshiNo liquidity99.0%
Cooper Pratt: 4+
13.0%Best · Kalshi$706
Willy Adames: 4+
12.0%Best · Kalshi$167
Christian Yelich: 4+
11.0%Best · Kalshi$257
David Hamilton: 3+
9.0%Best · Kalshi$211
Andrew Vaughn: 2+
9.0%Best · Kalshi$515
KalshiNo liquidity99.0%
Drew Cavanaugh: 1+
8.0%Best · Kalshi$9.6K
KalshiNo liquidity1.0%
Christian Koss: 1+
8.0%Best · Kalshi$1.4K
KalshiNo liquidity1.0%
Heliot Ramos: 5+
6.0%Best · Kalshi$581
William Contreras: 1+
6.0%Best · Kalshi$3.3K
KalshiNo liquidity99.0%
Jung Hoo Lee: 5+
5.0%Best · Kalshi$226
Christian Yelich: 1+
5.0%Best · Kalshi$3.6K
KalshiNo liquidity99.0%
Bryce Eldridge: 5+
5.0%Best · Kalshi$107
Luis Arraez: 1+
3.0%Best · Kalshi$2.5K
KalshiNo liquidity99.0%
Garrett Mitchell: 1+
3.0%Best · Kalshi$7.9K
David Hamilton: 1+
3.0%Best · Kalshi$607
Grant McCray: 1+
3.0%Best · Kalshi$1.3K
KalshiNo liquidity99.0%
Heliot Ramos: 2+
2.0%Best · Kalshi$358
KalshiNo liquidity99.0%
Andrew Vaughn: 1+
2.0%Best · Kalshi$13.1K
Heliot Ramos: 1+
2.0%Best · Kalshi$2.4K
KalshiNo liquidity99.0%
Jung Hoo Lee: 1+
2.0%Best · Kalshi$6.1K
KalshiNo liquidity99.0%
Willy Adames: 1+
2.0%Best · Kalshi$1.9K
San Francisco GiantsEliminated
1.0%Best · Kalshi$2.1M
PolymarketEliminated
Grant McCray: 2+
1.0%Best · Kalshi$187
KalshiNo liquidity99.0%
Drew Cavanaugh: 2+
1.0%Best · Kalshi$187
KalshiNo liquidity96.0%
Brice Turang: 1+
1.0%Best · Kalshi$5.2K
Cooper Pratt: 1+
1.0%Best · Kalshi$3.3K
Milwaukee wins by over 6.5 runs
1.0%Best · Kalshi$27.0K
Milwaukee wins by over 7.5 runs
1.0%Best · Kalshi$18.5K
Milwaukee wins by over 8.5 runs
1.0%Best · Kalshi$6.6K

AI-generated summary, may be inaccurate.

This is the July 28 game (Game 2 of the series), which appears to still be upcoming/live at snapshot time. The search results give good context. Let me now write the description. This market covers the July 28 MLB game at Oracle Park between the Milwaukee Brewers and San Francisco Giants, the second of a three-game series. The moneyline market on Polymarket and Kalshi resolves in favour of whichever team wins the full nine-inning contest; additional Kalshi markets track partial-game outcomes (first three, five, and seven innings), run totals, spreads, and individual player props centred on Giants third baseman Rafael Devers and starting pitcher Landen Roupp. The Brewers enter at 66–40 and first in the NL Central, while the Giants sit at 45–61 and fourth in the NL West. Milwaukee is the clear moneyline favourite, priced at 58.0% on both Polymarket and Kalshi, against San Francisco at 43.0% on Kalshi and 42.0% on Polymarket — a negligible 1.0-point cross-platform spread. The pitching matchup favours Milwaukee: Logan Henderson (4–1, 3.05 ERA) takes the ball for the Brewers, having struck out 47 batters across 38⅓ innings this season, against Landen Roupp, who carries a 3.93 ERA but a career-best 3.31 FIP in his third MLB season. Context from Game 1 adds a wrinkle: Grant McCray hit his first major league home run in nearly two years as San Francisco shut out Milwaukee 3–0 on Monday night, and it was the Brewers' fifth shutout of the season and their second in the last six games. Total-run markets lean high-scoring — Kalshi prices over 1.5 total runs at 98.0% and over 6.5 at 51.0% — suggesting bettors expect a more offensive affair in Game 2. Across all platforms, pricing is highly consistent, with virtually no exploitable spread on the headline moneyline.

Updated Jul 29, 2026, 2:03 AMclaude-sonnet-4-6cross-platform favourite flipped

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Category

SportsBaseball