Minnesota vs Toronto

This market covers the WNBA game between the Minnesota Lynx and the Toronto Tempo, originally scheduled for July 30 at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto. The moneyline question is straightforward: does Minnesota win outright, or does Toronto pull off the upset? Kalshi and Polymarket both list the Lynx as the overwhelming favourite, with Polymarket pricing them at 99.9% and Kalshi at 99.0% — a negligible cross-platform spread of just 0.7 percentage points. The Tempo's implied win probability sits at a near-floor 0.4%–1.0% depending on the platform. The lopsided odds reflect a stark gap in form and roster health. The Lynx entered the rematch leading the WNBA standings at 23-6, while the expansion Tempo sat at 10-17. The snapshot was taken after the two teams had already played their first meeting: rookie Olivia Miles scored 24 points as Minnesota extended their winning streak to eight games with a 100-93 victory on Tuesday night. Toronto headed into the rematch without Brittney Sykes (foot injury since June 16), Nyara Sabally (rib cage injury), and Isabelle Harrison (sore knee), compounding the difficulty for an already-struggling side. The Tempo had lost four in a row and eight of their past nine entering this game. The totals markets on Kalshi — with the over/under set at 170.5 for the full game — showed 99.0% consensus for the over, consistent with the first meeting finishing 100-93. Prop markets featuring Courtney Williams, Napheesa Collier, and Olivia Miles were similarly resolved at near-certainty thresholds for lower benchmarks. Across both Kalshi and Polymarket, the consensus is essentially uniform: the Lynx were never in any real danger of losing this market, and the negligible cross-platform spread signals strong agreement between venues.