MLB: 2026 American League Champion
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tampa Bay Rays FavoriteWidest spread 5.3% | 24.6%Polymarket | $1.2M | — | — | ||||
New York Yankees | 22.0%Polymarket US | $865.5K | — | — | ||||
Cleveland Guardians | 14.8%Polymarket | $1.2M | — | — | ||||
Boston Red Sox | 11.3%Polymarket | $915.2K | — | — | ||||
Chicago White Sox | 7.3%Polymarket US | $743.0K | — | — | ||||
Texas Rangers | 6.4%Polymarket | $367.6K | — | — | ||||
Houston Astros | 6.6%Polymarket US | $1.2M | — | — | ||||
Toronto Blue Jays | 1.8%Polymarket | $437.8K | — | — | ||||
Seattle Mariners | 0.1%Polymarket | $740.1K | — | — | ||||
Detroit Tigers Eliminated | 0.4%Polymarket US | $671.0K | — | — | Eliminated$126.6K | |||
Minnesota Twins Eliminated | 0.3%Polymarket US | $416.6K | — | — | Eliminated$258.5K | |||
Baltimore Orioles | 0.1%Polymarket | $364.5K | — | — | ||||
Kansas City Royals Eliminated | 1.0%Kalshi | $984.1K | — | — | Eliminated$856.3K | Eliminated | ||
Athletics Eliminated | 1.0%Kalshi | $317.1K | — | — | Eliminated$176.3K | Eliminated | ||
Los Angeles Angels Eliminated | 1.0%Kalshi | $432.4K | — | — | Eliminated$327.5K | Eliminated | ||
AI-generated summary, may be inaccurate.
This market resolves to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series, with all 15 AL clubs listed as possible outcomes. It is live across Polymarket, Kalshi, Polymarket US and Gemini, with combined volume above $9.1 million, most of it concentrated on Kalshi ($4.96M) and Polymarket ($4.23M). The New York Yankees lead the field at a 25.0% consensus, priced almost identically across venues (Kalshi 25.0%, Polymarket US 25.4%, Polymarket 24.0%). The Tampa Bay Rays sit close behind at 21.9%, making the top of the market unusually tight — only about three points separate the two favourites. Boston follows at 12.5%, then a middle tier of Houston (9.7%) and the Chicago White Sox (9.5%), with Seattle, Detroit, Texas and Toronto clustered in the 3–5% range. The remaining clubs trade as longshots below 3%. Cross-platform spreads are modest for the top names but widen further down the board: Seattle ranges from 3.9% on Polymarket to 6.0% on Kalshi (2.05 pts), and Baltimore from 1.0% on Polymarket to 2.9% on Polymarket US (2.10 pts). Overall, the four venues broadly agree on the shape of the AL race, with the Yankees a narrow favourite over the Rays and the biggest pricing gaps confined to lower-probability contenders.
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