MLB: 2026 National League Champion
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New York Mets Eliminated | 1.0%Kalshi | $289.3K | — | — | Eliminated$66.2K | Eliminated | ||
Los Angeles Dodgers | 39.5%Polymarket | $872.9K | — | — | ||||
Milwaukee Brewers | 24.6%Polymarket | $993.9K | — | — | ||||
Atlanta Braves | 10.5%Polymarket | $518.6K | — | — | ||||
San Diego Padres | 7.5%Polymarket US | $1.5M | — | — | ||||
Philadelphia Phillies | 8.3%Polymarket US | $466.4K | — | — | ||||
Chicago Cubs | 8.5%Polymarket | $443.4K | — | — | ||||
Pittsburgh Pirates Eliminated | 0.2%Polymarket US | $1.3M | — | — | Eliminated$1.1M | |||
St. Louis Cardinals Eliminated | 1.0%Kalshi | $452.3K | — | — | Eliminated$236.0K | Eliminated | ||
Colorado Rockies Eliminated | 1.0%Kalshi | $217.3K | — | — | Eliminated$203.5K | Eliminated | ||
San Francisco Giants Eliminated | 1.0%Kalshi | $399.9K | — | — | Eliminated$232.5K | Eliminated | ||
Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.1%Polymarket US | $471.8K | — | — | ||||
Miami Marlins Eliminated | 1.0%Gemini | $263.7K | — | — | Eliminated$38.4K | Eliminated | ||
Washington Nationals Eliminated | 1.0%Kalshi | $140.3K | — | — | Eliminated$22.7K | Eliminated | ||
Cincinnati Reds Eliminated | 1.0%Kalshi | $370.1K | — | — | Eliminated$287.5K | Eliminated |
AI-generated summary, may be inaccurate.
This market resolves to whichever team wins the 2026 National League Championship Series, awarding the NL pennant. Polymarket, Kalshi, Polymarket US and Gemini all list contracts on every NL club, with combined volume above $7.6 million concentrated on Polymarket ($3.86M) and Kalshi ($3.79M). Each team's "Yes" contract pays out only if that club takes the NLCS; otherwise, elimination in the playoffs resolves the corresponding market to "No." The Los Angeles Dodgers are the clear favourite at a 43.5% consensus, priced at 42.0% on Polymarket, 44.0% on Kalshi and 43.9% on Polymarket US. That is more than twice the implied probability of the next contender, the Milwaukee Brewers at 18.5%, followed by the Chicago Cubs at 13.5% and the Atlanta Braves at 13.0%. The Philadelphia Phillies (9.0%) and San Diego Padres (5.0%) round out the notable tier, with the remaining clubs each pricing under 2%. Cross-platform spreads on the top names are tight — the Dodgers vary by roughly 2 points across venues — while longer-shot teams show wider relative gaps, such as the Phillies (8.0% on Polymarket vs 9.5% on Polymarket US) and the St. Louis Cardinals (0.3% on Polymarket vs 1.4% on Polymarket US). Overall, the four venues agree that Los Angeles is a dominant favourite, with pricing differences confined mostly to the low-probability tail.
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