MLB: Doubles Leader

This market asks which player will lead Major League Baseball in doubles during the 2026 regular season. Each outcome represents a single hitter, with the market resolving to the official MLB doubles leader after the regular season ends in October 2026. Tie-breakers cascade through batting average, slugging, hits, and finally alphabetical order, with an "Other" resolution reserved for cancellation scenarios. Matt Olson sits atop the board as the favourite, priced at 44.6% on Polymarket and 40.0% on Polymarket US for a consensus near 44.6%. The next tier is tightly bunched: Rafael Devers at 22.5% consensus (43.0% on Polymarket US), Bryan Reynolds at 19.5% (41.4% Polymarket, 38.0% Polymarket US), and Troy Johnston at 18.0%. That Olson lead of roughly 22 points over the field signals a clear market preference but not overwhelming conviction, consistent with the wide-open nature of a season-long counting stat. Cross-platform spreads are notable on several names. Willy Adames shows 45.0% on Polymarket versus 33.0% on Polymarket US, while James Wood sits at just 1.3% on Polymarket against 15.0% on Polymarket US — a 13.2-point gap. Bobby Witt Jr. also diverges, at 6.0% versus 25.0%. Overall, Polymarket and Polymarket US agree on Olson as favourite but disagree materially on several mid-tier contenders.