MLB: Triples Leader

This market asks who will lead Major League Baseball in triples during the 2026 regular season, with tiebreakers running through batting average, slugging percentage, hit totals and, finally, alphabetical order by last name. It is listed on Polymarket, which carries essentially all of the $1.31 million in volume, and on Polymarket US, which currently shows no volume or liquidity but posts its own prices. Corbin Carroll is the overwhelming favourite at a consensus 96.5%, quoted at 96.7% on Polymarket and 97.0% on Polymarket US. That leaves the rest of the field sharing very thin probability: Leody Taveras and Pete Crow-Armstrong sit around 3.0% and 2.5% respectively, with Luis Arraez, Bryson Stott, Geraldo Perdomo, Jake McCarthy, Xavier Edwards and Chandler Simpson clustered near 1.5%. At those levels, the market is treating the title as Carroll's to lose rather than a genuinely open race. The most notable cross-platform gaps sit in the long tail: Xavier Edwards is priced at 2.0% on Polymarket US versus 0.1% on Polymarket, a 1.4-point spread, and Chandler Simpson shows a similar 1.0-point gap. The cross-platform takeaway is a near-identical read on Carroll's dominance, with meaningful disagreement only among the low-probability contenders.