Munar vs Atmane

This market covers the men's singles Round of 128 clash between Jaume Munar and Terence Atmane at the 2026 US Open, scheduled for August 30. The core question across platforms is simply which player advances, with several side markets on set winners, exact score, game spreads and total games layered on top. The event is listed on Polymarket, Kalshi, Azuro, Limitless and Gemini, with the bulk of activity concentrated on Polymarket's main moneyline (about $1.55m in volume) and Kalshi's match winner book (roughly $517k). Pricing on the outright winner is where the platforms disagree most sharply. Atmane is favoured on Polymarket at 72.4%, on Polymarket US at 73.0%, on Gemini at 75.0%, on Limitless at 64.8% and on Azuro at 62.5%, while Kalshi has him at just 39.0%. Munar mirrors that split, showing 61.0% on Kalshi versus 27–28% across Polymarket, Polymarket US, Gemini and Limitless — a cross-platform spread of roughly 47–49 points on the same outcome. Set and score markets on Kalshi lean toward Atmane in Set 1 (53.0%) and an Atmane 3-1 finish (72.0% within that market's set), broadly consistent with the offshore books. The cross-platform takeaway: every venue except Kalshi treats Atmane as a clear favourite, making this one of the widest same-match disagreements currently visible.