NC-07 House Election Winner

The NC-07 House Election Winner market tracks which party will claim North Carolina's 7th congressional district seat in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections. On Polymarket, the market resolves to the party of the winning candidate, with Republican and Democratic outcomes listed directly. Kalshi frames the question as a Yes/No on whether a Democrat is sworn in for the 2027 term, and also lists named candidates including incumbent-style favourite David Rouzer and Democrat Kim Hardy. The Republican Party is the clear favourite on Polymarket at 79.5%, with the Democratic Party sitting at 18.0%. On Kalshi, the candidate-level pricing aligns closely: David Rouzer is at 83.0% while Kim Hardy is at 18.0%. That leaves an implied Republican-side reading of roughly 79–83% depending on how the Kalshi candidate market is interpreted against Polymarket's party market, and a consistent 18.0% for the Democratic side across both venues. The favourite carries a spread of about 61 points over the Democratic alternative, signalling that traders view NC-07 as a solidly Republican-leaning seat heading into the midterms. Cross-platform pricing is tightly aligned, with Polymarket and Kalshi telling essentially the same story about the race.