New England vs Cleveland

This market covers the New England versus Cleveland NFL preseason game originally scheduled for August 27, 2026, with the primary moneyline market resolving to whichever team wins the game outright (ties split at $0.50). It's the most heavily traded event in this cluster, with Kalshi's headline moneyline market alone accounting for roughly $2.07 million in volume, alongside a broad set of side markets covering spread, totals, quarter and half winners, and quarter totals. Cleveland is the clear favourite to win, priced at a consensus 90.5%, with Kalshi at 91.0% and Gemini at 90.0% — a modest 1.5-point cross-platform spread. New England sits on the other side at a consensus 11.5%, with Gemini pricing the Patriots at 13.0% versus Kalshi's 10.0%, a 2.0-point gap that is the widest notable divergence on the game line. On the spread, Kalshi has New England covering +1.5 at 52.0%, implying a very tight expected margin despite the lopsided moneyline. Totals lean over: Kalshi's total-points ladder crosses 50% between 34.5 and 35.5 points, and Cleveland is also favoured to win the 1st quarter (89.0%) and 1st half (73.0%). Across platforms, pricing on Cleveland as favourite is closely aligned, with only small single-digit gaps on the underdog side.