New Orleans vs Charlotte

This market covers the NBA Summer League matchup between the Charlotte Hornets and the New Orleans Pelicans, originally scheduled for July 11, 2026. Kalshi and Polymarket both offer straightforward moneyline markets that resolve to the winner, while Kalshi additionally lists point-spread variants and Azuro carries a fuller book including spreads, totals, and odd/even props. A Polymarket clause specifies that a full cancellation with no make-up game resolves 50-50. Charlotte is the clear favourite on the moneyline. Kalshi prices the Hornets at 70.0% and New Orleans at 30.0%, while Polymarket has Charlotte at 68.5% and the Pelicans at 31.5%. Azuro's three-way market prices Charlotte at 73.0%, New Orleans at 31.1%, and a draw at 8.4%. On spreads, Kalshi has Charlotte -6.5 trading at 51.0%, with Charlotte -9.5 at 47.0% and Charlotte -15.5 at 29.0%, implying a projected margin in the high single digits. Cross-platform pricing on the winner is tightly aligned, with Azuro slightly more bullish on Charlotte than Kalshi or Polymarket, but no material arbitrage-scale spreads on the headline outcome.