New York Y vs Tampa Bay

This MLB game between the New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays is scheduled for October 3 at 6:30 PM ET. It is a two-outcome market: one side resolves for the Yankees if they win, the other for the Rays if they win. Polymarket's rules state that a postponed game keeps the market open until completion, and a cancellation with no make-up game or a tie resolves 50-50. Kalshi's rules call for a fair-price resolution if the game is cancelled or moved more than two days out. Total volume across listings is about $1.29 million, led by Kalshi ($408,336) and Novig ($397,013). Tampa Bay is the favourite at a 55.5% consensus, about 10 points ahead of New York's 45.5%. That gap signals a modest, not overwhelming, edge for the Rays. Gemini, Polymarket and Kalshi all have Tampa Bay at a 55.5% midpoint, and Novig sits slightly lower at 55.3%. For the Yankees, Kalshi and Gemini show 45.5%, Novig 44.8% and Polymarket 44.5%. Azuro was excluded from the consensus because it has no liquidity. The Rays' cross-platform spread is just 0.25 points, and the Yankees' is 0.75 points, with Polymarket the lowest-priced venue for New York. Pricing is closely aligned across Polymarket, Kalshi, Novig and Gemini, with no platform materially out of step on either outcome.