New York Y vs Washington

This market covers the MLB regular-season game between the New York Yankees and Washington Nationals, originally scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 1:35 PM ET. On Kalshi and Polymarket, the market resolves to the winning team, with postponements holding the market open until the game is completed; Polymarket resolves a canceled or tied game 50-50. Azuro also lists the matchup, with a small draw sliver priced at 12.6%. The Yankees are the consensus favourite at 55.5%, though the pricing varies meaningfully across venues. Kalshi has New York cheapest at 54.0%, Polymarket sits at 55.5%, and Azuro is the outlier at 63.3%. On the other side, Washington is priced at 47.0% on Kalshi, 44.5% on Polymarket, and just 37.5% on Azuro. The Kalshi book is notable in that both sides sum well above 100%, reflecting wider two-way pricing than Polymarket. The Yankees hold a modest edge of roughly eight to ten points over the Nationals on the two main US venues, but not a commanding one. The clearest cross-platform takeaway is that Azuro prices New York materially higher — and Washington materially lower — than either Kalshi or Polymarket.