BETCRYPTO
Live

Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released on...?

Starts:Oct 28, 2026, 9:49 PMEnds:Dec 1, 2026, 4:59 AM
GMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Tech & Science favorite hit rate90.1% (17,977)
Total volume
$17.8K
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
32
Platforms
1
Markets
1

Markets

Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.

No release by November 30Favorite
37.0%Best · Polymarket$4.9K
November 12
19.0%Best · Polymarket$768
November 23
27.9%Best · Polymarket$485
November 24
8.2%Best · Polymarket$360
November 7
5.8%Best · Polymarket$1.2K
November 6
7.0%Best · Polymarket$285
November 9
10.0%Best · Polymarket$359
November 8
9.5%Best · Polymarket$306
November 15
9.2%Best · Polymarket$348
November 17
7.9%Best · Polymarket$329
November 14
8.2%Best · Polymarket$1.2K
November 10
7.2%Best · Polymarket$235
November 5
7.8%Best · Polymarket$306
November 11
7.0%Best · Polymarket$331
November 16
6.0%Best · Polymarket$275
November 21
4.4%Best · Polymarket$373
November 18
5.0%Best · Polymarket$324
November 22
5.0%Best · Polymarket$317
November 20
5.0%Best · Polymarket$326
November 25
5.0%Best · Polymarket$311
November 27
4.3%Best · Polymarket$756
November 13
4.1%Best · Polymarket$250
November 28
4.0%Best · Polymarket$571
November 26
3.8%Best · Polymarket$246

Description from Polymarket. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model (5.6+) is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Opus" and be designated as version 5.6 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.6 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Opus 5 or Claude Opus 5.5 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Opus 6, while models whose name does not include "Opus" or which retain a version designation below 5.6, such as Claude Opus 5.5, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Discussion (0)

Log in to join the discussion.

No comments yet — start the discussion.

Category

Tech & Science