Next French presidential election: 2nd place (1st round) — On Apr 18, 2027
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jean-Luc Mélenchon Favorite | 47.0%Polymarket | $17.8K | — | — | — | — | ||
David Lisnard Widest spread 2.3% | 20.4%Polymarket | $24.0K | — | — | — | — | ||
Édouard Philippe | 18.0%Polymarket | $17.3K | — | — | — | — | ||
Raphaël Glucksmann | 8.0%Polymarket | $10.2K | — | — | — | — | ||
Marine Le Pen | 8.0%Polymarket | $10.7K | — | — | — | — | ||
Christine Lagarde | 9.0%Polymarket | $3.7K | — | — | — | — | — | |
Bruno Retailleau | 0.9%Polymarket | $4.1K | — | — | — | — | ||
Gabriel Attal | 1.8%Polymarket | $3.8K | — | — | — | — | ||
François Hollande | 1.4%Polymarket | $3.9K | — | — | — | — | ||
Marine Tondelier | 0.1%Polymarket | $2.1K | — | — | — | — | ||
Dominique de Villepin | 0.7%Polymarket | $3.1K | — | — | — | — | ||
Éric Zemmour | 0.1%Polymarket | $2.1K | — | — | — | — | ||
François Ruffin | 0.1%Polymarket | $1.1K | — | — | — | — | ||
Xavier Bertrand | 2.0%Kalshi | $454 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Jordan Bardella | 0.7%Polymarket | $4.2K | — | — | — | — | ||
Description from Polymarket. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in France on April 18, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
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