BETCRYPTO
Live

Next government of the United Kingdom? — Before Jan 1, 2030

Starts:May 21, 2026, 2:00 PMEnds:Jan 1, 2030, 3:00 PM
AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Politics favorite hit rate95.3% (1,754)
Total volume
$3.3K
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
19
Platforms
1
Markets
1

Markets

Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.

Labour majority
17.0%Best · Kalshi$1.4K
Labour, Liberal Democrat, and Green coalition
10.0%Best · Kalshi$311
Labour minority
9.3%Best · Kalshi$191
Labour minority + Liberal Democrat support
9.1%Best · Kalshi$144
Labour and Liberal Democrat coalition
9.0%Best · Kalshi$139
Labour minority + LD/Green/SNP/Plaid support
8.3%Best · Kalshi$139
Labour minority + SNP support
7.5%Best · Kalshi$171
Labour minority + Green support
7.2%Best · Kalshi$166

Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.

A party is considered part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position in the new government. This evaluation occurs at the first official, stable formation of the government once the legislative process is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances. Confidence and supply arrangements where a party supports the government without holding cabinet positions may be included if explicitly specified in the parties description. Caretaker or interim governments appointed temporarily before formal government formation do not count for determining party status. A sole 'minority' government designation (e.g. 'Party X minority') means the relevant party is the ruling government but does not have a confidence and supply agreement with any party or a majority of seats in the parliament (or equivalent legislature). If a parties description specifies support from one or more named parties, that support is exclusive to the named parties.

Discussion (0)

Log in to join the discussion.

No comments yet — start the discussion.