Next Israeli Minister of Interior?
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No Next Minister by Feb 28 Favorite | 45.0%Polymarket | $3.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Michael Malchieli | 32.0%Polymarket | $318 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Yoav Ben-Tzur | 34.0%Polymarket | $271 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Hili Tropper (Yechiel Tropper) | 25.5%Polymarket | $210 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Israel Katz | 9.0%Polymarket | $1.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Miri Regev | 10.6%Polymarket | $848 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Orit Farkash-Hacohen | 9.4%Polymarket | $121 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Ayelet Shaked | 7.6%Polymarket | $589 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Yariv Levin | 6.3%Polymarket | $150 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Yoram Cohen | 3.2%Polymarket | $32 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Yair Golan | 3.2%Polymarket | $84 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Keren Terner Eyal | 3.2%Polymarket | $78 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Meirav Cohen | 3.2%Polymarket | $78 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Oded Forer | 3.2%Polymarket | $52 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Eli Cohen | 2.9%Polymarket | $121 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Moshe Arbel | 2.0%Polymarket | $830 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Description from Polymarket. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Israeli Minister of Interior in the first government formed following the 2026 Knesset elections. To count for resolution, the individual’s ministership must be approved by the Knesset in a vote of confidence in that government or a subsequent vote approving the individual’s appointment to that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of Interior will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution. The individual must be appointed as “Minister of Interior” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor. If the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Minister of Interior are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order. If no such Minister of Interior assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Minister by Feb 28”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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