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Next Japanese general election winner? — House of Representatives

Starts:Oct 27, 2026, 10:00 PMEnds:Feb 7, 2031, 3:00 PM
GMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Politics favorite hit rate95.3% (3,537)
Total volume
$15.5K
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
7
Platforms
1
Markets
1

Markets

Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.

Liberal Democratic PartyFavorite
83.0%Best · Kalshi$1.0K
Democratic Party for the People
9.0%Best · Kalshi$3.0K
Sanseitō
8.0%Best · Kalshi$2.0K
Japan Innovation Party
8.0%Best · Kalshi$3.0K
Constitutional Democratic Party
7.0%Best · Kalshi$2.0K
Democratic Reform Party
5.0%Best · Kalshi$2.5K
Team Mirai
4.0%Best · Kalshi$2.0K

Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.

For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

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