Next Prime Minister of Sweden
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Magdalena Andersson Favorite | 82.0%Polymarket US | $2.1M | — | — | — | — | ||
Ulf Kristersson Widest spread 3.4% | 12.7%Polymarket | $1.6M | — | — | — | — | ||
Jimmie Åkesson | 0.4%Polymarket | $1.8M | — | — | — | — | ||
Ebba Busch | 1.0%Polymarket US | $799.2K | — | — | — | — | ||
Nooshi Dadgostar | 0.3%Polymarket | $1.0M | — | — | — | — | ||
AI-generated summary, may be inaccurate.
This market asks who will become the next Prime Minister of Sweden following the parliamentary election scheduled for September 13, 2026. Resolution requires the individual to officially assume office; interim or caretaker leaders do not count, and the market resolves to "Other" if no qualifying PM takes office by June 30, 2027. It is listed on Polymarket, where nearly all of the $3.75M in volume sits, with a parallel Polymarket US market currently showing no activity. Magdalena Andersson, the Social Democrat leader, is the clear favourite at a 92.5% consensus, priced at 88.5% on Polymarket versus 93.0% on Polymarket US — a 4.0-point spread that makes her the cheapest entry on Polymarket. Incumbent Ulf Kristersson trails distantly at 10.5% consensus (10.5% on Polymarket, 12.0% on Polymarket US). No other candidate breaks 4%: Jimmie Åkesson sits at 3.5%, Nooshi Dadgostar at 2.5%, and Ebba Busch at 1.5%, each with modest cross-platform gaps where Polymarket US consistently prices higher than Polymarket. The takeaway: both venues agree Andersson is the overwhelming favourite, but Polymarket prices her marginally lower than Polymarket US across nearly every named contender.
Discussion (0)
Log in to join the discussion.
No comments yet — start the discussion.