Next Qwen Max (3.9+) released on...?
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
On or prior to November 6 Eliminated | — | $1 | — | — | — | — | Eliminated$1 | — |
November 7 No liquidity | — | $46 | — | — | — | — | No liquidity10.0% | — |
November 8 No liquidity | — | — | — | — | — | — | No liquidity44.0% | — |
November 9 No liquidity | — | — | — | — | — | — | No liquidity45.5% | — |
November 10 No liquidity | — | — | — | — | — | — | No liquidity23.5% | — |
November 11 No liquidity | — | — | — | — | — | — | No liquidity44.5% | — |
November 12 No liquidity | — | — | — | — | — | — | No liquidity34.0% | — |
November 13 No liquidity | — | — | — | — | — | — | No liquidity25.0% | — |
November 14 No liquidity | — | — | — | — | — | — | No liquidity44.0% | — |
November 15 No liquidity | — | — | — | — | — | — | No liquidity44.0% | — |
November 16 No liquidity | — | — | — | — | — | — | No liquidity40.0% | — |
November 17 No liquidity | — | — | — | — | — | — | No liquidity44.5% | — |
November 18 No liquidity | — | — | — | — | — | — | No liquidity35.0% | — |
November 19 No liquidity | — | — | — | — | — | — | No liquidity45.5% | — |
November 20 No liquidity | — | — | — | — | — | — | No liquidity46.5% | — |
November 21 No liquidity | — | — | — | — | — | — | No liquidity45.5% | — |
November 22 No liquidity | — | — | — | — | — | — | No liquidity45.0% | — |
November 23 No liquidity | — | — | — | — | — | — | No liquidity45.0% | — |
November 24 No liquidity | — | — | — | — | — | — | No liquidity46.0% | — |
November 25 No liquidity | — | — | — | — | — | — | No liquidity25.5% | — |
Description from Polymarket. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Alibaba's next Qwen Max model (3.9+) is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Qwen" and "Max," be the flagship model of Alibaba's core Qwen Max tier, and be designated as version 3.9 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.9 or higher named in the same manner as Qwen3.7-Max or Qwen3.8-Max-Preview would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Qwen4-Max, while models whose name does not include "Max" or which retain a version designation below 3.9, such as Qwen3.8-Max, including its stable, open-weight, or snapshot re-releases, or Qwen3.8-Max-Preview, will not qualify. Derivative lines such as VL, Coder, Omni, or other specialized variants, such as qwen-vl-max, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Alibaba as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Alibaba, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
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