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Next Qwen Max (3.9+) released on...?

Starts:Nov 7, 2026, 4:04 AMEnds:Dec 1, 2026, 4:59 AM
GMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Tech & Science favorite hit rate90.1% (18,345)
Total volume
$101
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
26
Platforms
1
Markets
1

Markets

Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.

On or prior to November 6Eliminated
PolymarketEliminated
November 7No liquidity
PolymarketNo liquidity10.0%
November 8No liquidity
PolymarketNo liquidity44.0%
November 9No liquidity
PolymarketNo liquidity45.5%
November 10No liquidity
PolymarketNo liquidity23.5%
November 11No liquidity
PolymarketNo liquidity44.5%
November 12No liquidity
PolymarketNo liquidity34.0%
November 13No liquidity
PolymarketNo liquidity25.0%
November 14No liquidity
PolymarketNo liquidity44.0%
November 15No liquidity
PolymarketNo liquidity44.0%
November 16No liquidity
PolymarketNo liquidity40.0%
November 17No liquidity
PolymarketNo liquidity44.5%
November 18No liquidity
PolymarketNo liquidity35.0%
November 19No liquidity
PolymarketNo liquidity45.5%
November 20No liquidity
PolymarketNo liquidity46.5%
November 21No liquidity
PolymarketNo liquidity45.5%
November 22No liquidity
PolymarketNo liquidity45.0%
November 23No liquidity
PolymarketNo liquidity45.0%
November 24No liquidity
PolymarketNo liquidity46.0%
November 25No liquidity
PolymarketNo liquidity25.5%

Description from Polymarket. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Alibaba's next Qwen Max model (3.9+) is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Qwen" and "Max," be the flagship model of Alibaba's core Qwen Max tier, and be designated as version 3.9 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.9 or higher named in the same manner as Qwen3.7-Max or Qwen3.8-Max-Preview would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Qwen4-Max, while models whose name does not include "Max" or which retain a version designation below 3.9, such as Qwen3.8-Max, including its stable, open-weight, or snapshot re-releases, or Qwen3.8-Max-Preview, will not qualify. Derivative lines such as VL, Coder, Omni, or other specialized variants, such as qwen-vl-max, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Alibaba as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Alibaba, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

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Tech & Science

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