Next Serbian presidential election winner? — in 2026
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| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SNS-backed candidate Favorite | 55.0%Kalshi | $3.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Student-backed candidate | 51.0%Kalshi | $2.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
SNS-backed candidate: Any presidential candidate nominated or formally endorsed by the Serbian Progressive Party (SNS) before the Republic Electoral Commission's candidate-nomination deadline for the first round. Student-backed candidate: Any presidential candidate nominated or formally endorsed, before that deadline, by the proposer of the student-designated electoral list in the October 25, 2026 parliamentary election, provided that candidate is not also nominated or endorsed by SNS. If the winner is neither an SNS-backed candidate nor a Student-backed candidate, both markets resolve No. For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office, is the winner. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.
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