NH-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Maura Sullivan) — On Sep 8, 2026
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| Outcome | Result | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Maura Sullivan, ≥3% | — | $4.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Maura Sullivan, ≥6% | — | $4.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Maura Sullivan, ≥9% | — | $7.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Maura Sullivan, ≥12% | — | $5.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Maura Sullivan, ≥15% | — | $4.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Dimmed prices were last confirmed too long ago for the state of this event (in play, before the game, or long-dated) and are left out of consensus, best price and spread.
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
The margin of victory is the vote share received by Maura Sullivan minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Maura Sullivan if Maura Sullivan wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Maura Sullivan loses. If Maura Sullivan wins, the margin will be positive; if Maura Sullivan loses, the margin will be negative; if Maura Sullivan ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Maura Sullivan runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.
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