NL Cy Young Winner? — 2026 season

The NL Cy Young Winner market for the 2026 season asks which pitcher will take home the National League's top pitching award, as determined by MLB at season's end. It is listed across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Gemini, with Kalshi accounting for the lion's share of the roughly $3.0M in combined volume. Dozens of names populate the board, but the field is dominated by one contender. Jacob Misiorowski is the clear favourite at a 93.0% consensus, priced at 95.0% on Gemini, 92.0% on Kalshi, and 89.3% on Polymarket. That puts him more than 85 points ahead of the next names in line: Chris Sale at a 6.5% consensus and Cristopher Sanchez at 5.0%. Beyond that trio, the remaining arms — including Shohei Ohtani, Paul Skenes, Zack Wheeler, Logan Webb, and Yoshinobu Yamamoto — all sit at roughly 1.5% or below, essentially treated as long shots. The most notable spread sits on the favourite himself: Polymarket prices Misiorowski about 5.7 points cheaper than Gemini, a 3.9-point gap around a near-consensus name. Across platforms, the takeaway is a heavily concentrated market on Misiorowski, with Polymarket the most cautious of the three books.