Settled
Nobel Prize in Literature: 2026
Starts:Jul 1, 2026, 1:00 AMEnds:Oct 10, 2026, 3:59 AM
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Total volume
$61.3K
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
12
Platforms
1
Markets
1
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Anne Carson Winner | 99.0%Kalshi | $14.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Can Xue | 4.0%Kalshi | $8.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Thomas Pynchon | 4.0%Kalshi | $6.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Amitav Ghosh | 1.0%Kalshi | $3.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Salman Rushdie | 1.0%Kalshi | $3.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Haruki Murakami | 1.0%Kalshi | $5.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Margaret Atwood | 1.0%Kalshi | $2.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Mircea Cărtărescu | 1.0%Kalshi | $4.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Gerald Murnane | 1.0%Kalshi | $4.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
César Aira | 1.0%Kalshi | $4.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Alexis Wright | 1.0%Kalshi | $2.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Cristina Rivera Garza | 1.0%Kalshi | $1.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Anne CarsonWinner
99.0%Best · Kalshi$14.0K
Can Xue
4.0%Best · Kalshi$8.1K
Thomas Pynchon
4.0%Best · Kalshi$6.4K
Amitav Ghosh
1.0%Best · Kalshi$3.7K
Salman Rushdie
1.0%Best · Kalshi$3.1K
Haruki Murakami
1.0%Best · Kalshi$5.4K
Margaret Atwood
1.0%Best · Kalshi$2.5K
Mircea Cărtărescu
1.0%Best · Kalshi$4.6K
Gerald Murnane
1.0%Best · Kalshi$4.3K
César Aira
1.0%Best · Kalshi$4.4K
Alexis Wright
1.0%Best · Kalshi$2.8K
Cristina Rivera Garza
1.0%Best · Kalshi$1.9K
AI-generated summary, may be inaccurate.
A detailed summary of this event hasn't been generated yet. Once available, it will explain the context, key contenders, and what each outcome resolves to.
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