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Northern Ireland Assembly election winner? — in 2027

Starts:Oct 12, 2026, 2:00 PMEnds:May 5, 2028, 2:00 PM
GMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Politics favorite hit rate95.4% (3,430)
Total volume
$1
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
6
Platforms
1
Markets
1

Markets

Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.

Sinn FéinNo liquidity
KalshiNo liquidity77.0%
DUPNo liquidity
KalshiNo liquidity15.0%
UUPNo liquidity
KalshiNo liquidity12.0%
AllianceNo liquidity
KalshiNo liquidity8.0%
TUVNo liquidity
KalshiNo liquidity7.0%
SDLPNo liquidity
KalshiNo liquidity6.0%

Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.

For parliamentary elections, the party with the most seats wins. If two parties tie in seats, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO The Assembly has 90 seats; there are no overhang, levelling or appointed seats The market covers the first Northern Ireland Assembly election held after Issuance, whether on the scheduled date or earlier This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

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