Northern Nalšia District By-Election Winner
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gintautas Kindurys Favorite | 46.0%Polymarket | $601 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Ignotas Adomavičius | 29.0%Polymarket | $679 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Vladislav Kondratovič | 18.0%Polymarket | $460 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Dalia Štraupaitė | 19.0%Polymarket | $284 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Antanas Šakalis | 19.7%Polymarket | $623 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Maksimas Paukštė | 7.9%Polymarket | $170 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Viktor Voronin | 7.5%Polymarket | $166 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Giedrius Dainys | 7.2%Polymarket | $161 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Mėta Palauskaitė | 4.9%Polymarket | $235 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nikolajus Lebedevičius | 3.6%Polymarket | $495 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Description from Polymarket. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
An early election for a member of the Seimas of the Republic of Lithuania in the single-member Northern Nalšia constituency (No. 52) is scheduled to take place on November 8, 2026. The by-election was triggered by the death of the incumbent member, Jevgenij Šuklin, on May 28, 2026. This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the election in the Northern Nalšia constituency. If no candidate receives the required share of the vote in the first round, this market will resolve according to the result of the second round. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Commission of the Republic of Lithuania (Vyriausioji rinkimų komisija, https://www.vrk.lt/).
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