NY Jets vs CHI Bears

The New York Jets host the Chicago Bears in an NFL game on October 4, 2026, at 1:00 PM ET, and the event is listed on Polymarket, Kalshi, Novig, Gemini, Limitless, Azuro and Polymarket US. Most venues price a two-way winner market: a "Bears" contract pays if Chicago wins and a "Jets" contract pays if New York wins. Polymarket, Limitless and Kalshi resolve a tie at 50-50. Azuro lists the game as a three-way market, with a separate Draw outcome priced at 8.4%. Chicago is the clear favourite. Bears contracts sit tightly between 63.3% on Novig and 63.7% on Limitless, with Kalshi, Gemini and Polymarket at 63.5% and Polymarket US at 63.6%. Azuro's "Chicago Bears" line is slightly higher at 64.1%. The Jets trade at 36.4% to 36.8% across most venues. Azuro is the exception at 38.2%, which accounts for the outcome's 1.79-point spread. That gap probably reflects Azuro's different three-way market structure rather than a genuine disagreement about the game. A roughly 27-point edge for Chicago implies the market views it as a solid but not overwhelming favourite. Liquidity is deepest on Polymarket, Novig and Kalshi. Across platforms, pricing is closely aligned at roughly 63.5% for the Bears, and Azuro's three-way format is the only source of meaningful divergence.