NYC population change (July 2025 – July 2027)? — 2025-2027
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Decrease 0-0.99% | 42.0%Kalshi | $23.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Increase 0.01-0.99% Favorite | 45.0%Kalshi | $14.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Decrease 1-1.99% | 9.0%Kalshi | $10.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Increase 1-1.99% | 10.0%Kalshi | $11.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Decrease 3% or more | 6.0%Kalshi | $9.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Increase 3% or more | 5.0%Kalshi | $9.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
Population change is calculated as ((July 2027 Population - July 2025 Population) / July 2025 Population) × 100, rounded to one decimal place. The market resolves based on official census counts or estimates from the relevant national statistical office or census bureau for the specified geography. If the geography is split into multiple entities during the time period, the combined population of all successor entities will be used. Preliminary counts or estimates are valid if final data is not available by expiration. If data is unavailable by the latest expiration date, all strikes resolve to No. For temporal markets, the market checks cumulative population change from the start of the time period to each potential resolution date.
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