Settled
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/13 - 7/19) — 7/13 - 7/19
Starts:Jul 19, 2026Ends:Jul 21, 2026, 1:00 PM
AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Total volume
$67.1K
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
7
Platforms
1
Markets
1
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Above 15 Winner | 99.0%Kalshi | $19.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 10 Winner | 98.0%Kalshi | $11.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 25 | 10.0%Kalshi | $5.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 40 | 5.0%Kalshi | $2.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 30 | 4.0%Kalshi | $10.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 20 | 1.0%Kalshi | $16.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 50 | 1.0%Kalshi | $1.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Above 15Winner
99.0%Best · Kalshi$19.4K
Above 10Winner
98.0%Best · Kalshi$11.2K
Above 25
10.0%Best · Kalshi$5.5K
Above 40
5.0%Best · Kalshi$2.7K
Above 30
4.0%Best · Kalshi$10.0K
Above 20
1.0%Best · Kalshi$16.7K
Above 50
1.0%Best · Kalshi$1.6K
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 10 from Jul 13, 2026 to Jul 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Jul 13, 2026 to Jul 19, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
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