Phoenix vs Chicago
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Natasha Mack: 2+ | 99.0%Kalshi | $1.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Over 189.5 points scored | 99.0%Kalshi | $143.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Over 192.5 points scored | 99.0%Kalshi | $150.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Over 195.5 points scored | 99.0%Kalshi | $152.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Phoenix Mercury Winner | 99.0%Kalshi | $3.0M | No liquidity55.9% | — | — | — | No liquidity99.9% | — | |
Over 198.5 points scored | 99.0%Kalshi | $97.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Over 202.5 points scored | 99.0%Kalshi | $194.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Over 205.5 points scored | 99.0%Kalshi | $115.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Natasha Mack: 4+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $813 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Natasha Mack: 6+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $2.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Natasha Mack: 10+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $1.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Natasha Mack: 15+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $232 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Chicago Sky Eliminated | 1.0%Kalshi | $2.9M | No liquidity47.6% | — | — | — | Eliminated$296.1K | — | |
Phoenix wins by over 12.5 points | 1.0%Kalshi | $7.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Phoenix wins by over 16.5 points | 1.0%Kalshi | $5.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Over 209.5 points scored | 1.0%Kalshi | $105.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Over 212.5 points scored | 1.0%Kalshi | $46.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Over 215.5 points scored | 1.0%Kalshi | $8.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
AI-generated summary, may be inaccurate.
This event covers the WNBA regular-season matchup between the Phoenix Mercury and the Chicago Sky, originally scheduled for August 3, 2026. Alongside a straight moneyline, prediction markets are pricing a wide array of side markets — spreads, quarter and half winners, game totals, and individual player props for names like Alyssa Thomas, DeWanna Bonner, Kahleah Copper, Kamilla Cardoso, DiJonai Carrington and Natasha Mack. The bulk of the roughly $1.7M in volume sits on Kalshi, with smaller books on Polymarket and Azuro. Phoenix is the moneyline favourite. Kalshi and Polymarket both price the Mercury at 54.0%, while Azuro's two-way markets lean more heavily toward Phoenix at 55.9%, 67.6% and even 82.6% across different listings. On the Chicago side, Polymarket shows 46.0% versus Kalshi's 47.0% — a modest 1.0-point spread — with Azuro variants ranging from 27.0% to 47.6%. Totals point clearly to a high-scoring game: the Over is priced at 85.0% on Polymarket, and Kalshi has Over 174.5 at 85.0%, tapering to 53.0% at 186.5 and 32.0% at 195.5. The cross-platform takeaway: Kalshi and Polymarket agree closely that Phoenix is a slight favourite in a game expected to go over the total, while Azuro's thinner markets price the Mercury noticeably higher.
Discussion (0)
Log in to join the discussion.
No comments yet — start the discussion.