PIT Steelers vs CLE Browns
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Result | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pittsburgh Steelers | Lost | $27.7M | No liquidity0.5% | ||||||
Cleveland Browns Winner | Won | $24.1M | No liquidity99.5% | ||||||
Draw | Lost | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Dimmed prices were last confirmed too long ago for the state of this event (in play, before the game, or long-dated) and are left out of consensus, best price and spread.
AI-generated summary, may be inaccurate.
This is a live Thursday Night Football matchup between the Pittsburgh Steelers and Cleveland Browns, scheduled for October 1, 2026 at Huntington Bank Field in Cleveland. The game tips off at 8:15 p.m. EDT on Amazon Prime, with both teams entering at 2-1. The market resolves to "Steelers" if Pittsburgh wins, "Browns" if Cleveland wins, and 50-50 in the event of a cancellation or tie. The Cleveland Browns are the consensus favourite at 54.5%, with Polymarket at 54.0%, Kalshi at 55.0%, Novig at 55.0%, and Gemini at 56.0%. Limitless is the outlier, pricing the Browns at just 43.5% — a notable 12-point gap versus the Kalshi/Gemini cluster. The Pittsburgh Steelers sit at roughly 45.5% consensus, with Azuro a touch higher at 55.6% for Cleveland on one of its lines, reflecting the home team's modest but real edge. The implied spread is tight: conventional sportsbooks have Pittsburgh favoured by 2.5 points, pointing to a genuinely competitive divisional contest. Several factors explain why Cleveland holds the slight market edge. Cleveland has won seven straight games on Thursday night, the longest active streak and tied for fourth longest in NFL history. Pittsburgh is 0-9 on the road when facing an AFC North team on Thursday. Deshaun Watson has four touchdowns and no interceptions over the past two games. Injury news also tilts Cleveland's way: Elgton Jenkins is out for Week 4, with Teven Jenkins and Tylan Wallace also listed out for Thursday Night Football. The Limitless platform's divergence from the cross-platform consensus is the most notable spread to watch, though overall liquidity there is negligible compared to Kalshi's $14.8M and Novig's $9.3M in the moneyline market.
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