Portugal vs Norway — POR vs NOR (Oct 4)
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Norway Eliminated | — | $2.5M | — | No liquidity0.1% | Eliminated | ||||
Portugal Winner | — | $4.2M | — | No liquidity99.0% | |||||
Draw Eliminated | — | $897.3K | — | Eliminated |
Dimmed prices were last confirmed too long ago for the state of this event (in play, before the game, or long-dated) and are left out of consensus, best price and spread.
AI-generated summary, may be inaccurate.
Portugal host Norway in a UEFA Nations League match scheduled for October 4, 2026, with markets open on Polymarket, Kalshi, Novig, Limitless, Azuro and Polymarket US. The three outcomes are a Portugal win, a draw, or a Norway win. Kalshi's rules settle on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Total volume stands at about $1.22 million, led by Kalshi at roughly $780,560 and Polymarket at about $137,962. Portugal are clear favourites at a 58.5% consensus, nearly three times Norway's 20.5%. The draw is priced at 21.5%, slightly above a Norway win. Venue midpoints for Portugal range from 57.5% on Polymarket US to 61.0% on Azuro. That 3.48-point spread is the widest of the three outcomes. Polymarket, Kalshi and Limitless all sit at 58.5%, and Novig is at 58.0%. The draw is almost uniformly priced, from 21.3% on Novig to 21.6% on Limitless, a 0.26-point spread. For Norway, midpoints run from 19.5% on Polymarket to 21.1% on Azuro, a 1.55-point gap. Azuro prices both teams slightly higher than the other venues. Across platforms, pricing is tightly aligned behind a Portugal win, with Azuro the main outlier on the favourite.
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