Ricci vs Kline

The Ricci vs Kline market covered the UFC Fight Night women's strawweight bout between Tabatha Ricci and Fatima Kline, originally scheduled for July 18, 2026. Listings on Kalshi, Polymarket, and Azuro resolved based on which fighter was officially declared the winner, with draws or no contests treated as 50-50. Combined volume approached $2.68 million, almost entirely concentrated on Kalshi. By the snapshot on July 19, 2026, the market had effectively settled on Fatima Kline as the winner. Polymarket priced her at 99.8%, Kalshi at 99.0%, and Azuro at 84.0%, for a consensus around 99.0%. Tabatha Ricci was correspondingly marginal: 0.2% on Polymarket, 1.0% on Kalshi, and a notably higher 22.2% on Azuro. That gap on Azuro is the only material cross-platform spread of roughly 0.8 consensus points, likely reflecting its very thin liquidity (listed at zero) rather than a genuine disagreement. Polymarket also carried several ancillary props, including method and round markets, with an "Over" line at 97.0% and a "Yes" branch at 67.0%, while other conditional legs sat between 4.9% and 78.0%. The cross-platform takeaway: Kalshi and Polymarket agreed decisively on Kline, with Azuro's stale pricing the only visible outlier.