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San Diego vs Miami

Starts:Jul 24, 2026, 11:10 PMEnds:Jul 31, 2026, 11:10 PM
AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
ResolvedWinner:San Diego PadresSettled Jul 25, 2026
Sports favorite hit rate72.3% (140,236)
Total volume
$6.6M
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
83
Platforms
2
Markets
23

Markets

Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.

San Diego PadresWinner
99.0%Best · Kalshi$2.7M
PolymarketNo liquidity99.9%
Ryan Gusto: 1+
99.0%Best · Kalshi$192
Ryan Gusto: 2+
99.0%Best · Kalshi$511
Ryan Gusto: 3+
99.0%Best · Kalshi$2.2K
Ryan Gusto: 4+
99.0%Best · Kalshi$440
Heriberto Hernández: 1+
99.0%Best · Kalshi$13.5K
KalshiNo liquidity99.0%
Joe Mack: 1+
99.0%Best · Kalshi$28.3K
Ty France: 1+
25.0%Best · Kalshi$9.7K
Otto Lopez: 1+
2.0%Best · Kalshi$2.6K
Jakob Marsee: 1+
2.0%Best · Kalshi$287
KalshiNo liquidity1.0%
Xavier Edwards: 1+
10.0%Best · Kalshi$2.4K
Heriberto Hernández: 2+
99.0%Best · Kalshi$276
KalshiNo liquidity4.0%
Ty France: 2+
99.0%Best · Kalshi$634
KalshiNo liquidity9.0%
Xavier Edwards: 2+
99.0%Best · Kalshi$1.4K
Joe Mack: 3+
99.0%Best · Kalshi$548
Otto Lopez: 3+
19.0%Best · Kalshi$6.4K
Griffin Conine: 2+
1.0%Best · Kalshi$304
Otto Lopez: 2+
2.0%Best · Kalshi$838
KalshiNo liquidity1.0%
Otto Lopez: 4+
17.0%Best · Kalshi$452
KalshiNo liquidity19.0%
Xavier Edwards: 4+
17.0%Best · Kalshi$155
Liam Hicks: 3+
14.0%Best · Kalshi$240
Gavin Sheets: 1+
1.0%Best · Kalshi$2.2K
KalshiNo liquidity69.0%
Liam Hicks: 1+
1.0%Best · Kalshi$23.0K
Sung-Mun Song: 1+
1.0%Best · Kalshi$1.9K
KalshiNo liquidity69.0%
Xander Bogaerts: 1+
1.0%Best · Kalshi$2.0K
KalshiNo liquidity69.0%
Javier Sanoja: 1+
1.0%Best · Kalshi$1.9K
Liam Hicks: 2+
2.0%Best · Kalshi$112
KalshiNo liquidity9.0%
Miami MarlinsEliminated
1.0%Best · Kalshi$2.2M
PolymarketEliminated
Ryan Gusto: 5+
1.0%Best · Kalshi$2.4K
Ryan Gusto: 6+
1.0%Best · Kalshi$508
Ryan Gusto: 7+
1.0%Best · Kalshi$1.6K
Ryan Gusto: 8+
1.0%Best · Kalshi$2.1K
Kyle Stowers: 1+
1.0%Best · Kalshi$10.1K
KalshiNo liquidity4.0%
Griffin Conine: 1+
1.0%Best · Kalshi$23.5K
KalshiNo liquidity1.0%
Luis Campusano: 1+
1.0%Best · Kalshi$572
KalshiNo liquidity32.0%
Jake Cronenworth: 1+
1.0%Best · Kalshi$5.2K
KalshiNo liquidity69.0%
Joe Mack: 2+
1.0%Best · Kalshi$194
KalshiNo liquidity99.0%

AI-generated summary, may be inaccurate.

This is a July 24 game between the San Diego Padres and Miami Marlins at loanDepot Park. The game was scheduled for 7:10 PM ET and the snapshot is from before the game concluded. Let me write the description using the data and search results. The markets listed cover the July 24 MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Miami Marlins at loanDepot Park in Miami. The headline moneyline market — live on both Polymarket and Kalshi — asks simply which team wins, with San Diego the current favourite at 56.0% on Kalshi and 54.0% on Polymarket, a modest 2-point cross-platform spread. Miami is priced at 45.0% on Kalshi and 48.0% on Polymarket, reflecting a slight disagreement between the two venues. Kalshi also hosts a rich spread of prop and totals markets: the over-3.5-runs market sits at 91.0%, over-5.5 runs at 69.0%, and the full-game total over-9-runs market is nearly even, pointing to expectations of a moderately high-scoring affair. The lean toward San Diego is notable given the context. Both teams entered this series on losing streaks — the Padres two in a row, the Marlins a punishing nine straight. Miami had come crashing down after a strong mid-July run, with their offense averaging just 2.55 runs per game since July 10. Meanwhile, San Diego's lineup had averaged 6.71 runs per game since the All-Star break. Germán Márquez gets the start for the Padres, with Kalshi pricing his 2+ strikeouts market at 99.0%. Fernando Tatis Jr.'s 1+ hits prop sits at 79.0% on Kalshi, reflecting steady confidence in his participation. On the Miami side, Otto Lopez leads the Marlins with a .332 average, while Griffin Conine has been hot, going 10-for-29 with four home runs over his last ten games. Both Polymarket and Kalshi agree San Diego is a slim favourite, with the 2–3 point moneyline spread between platforms representing minimal arbitrage signal; the broader market picture is consistent across venues.

Updated Jul 25, 2026, 12:32 AMclaude-sonnet-4-6cross-platform favourite flipped

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Category

SportsBaseball