San Diego vs Milwaukee

This listing covers Game 2 of the National League Division Series between the San Diego Padres and the Milwaukee Brewers, scheduled for October 4 at 4:00 PM ET. The two main outcomes are simple: "Milwaukee Brewers" resolves yes if Milwaukee wins, and "San Diego Padres" resolves yes if San Diego wins. On Polymarket, a cancellation with no make-up game or a tie resolves 50-50. On Kalshi, a cancellation or a reschedule more than two days out resolves to a fair price. Total recorded volume across listings is about $1.25 million, led by Kalshi ($682,658) and Novig ($345,197). Milwaukee is the favourite at a consensus 55.4%, against 44.6% for San Diego. That is a gap of roughly 10.8 points, which points to a modest edge rather than a lopsided matchup. Venue midpoints for the Brewers range from 55.3% on Novig and Polymarket US to 55.5% on Kalshi, Gemini and Polymarket. San Diego sits between 44.5% (Kalshi, Polymarket, Gemini) and 44.8% (Novig, Polymarket US). The lowest quoted entry is 55.5% for Milwaukee on Novig and 45.0% for San Diego on Kalshi. Azuro is excluded from the consensus because it has no liquidity, and Polymarket US and Gemini show little or no activity. The cross-platform spread is just 0.25 points on each outcome, so every venue is pricing Milwaukee as a slight favourite at nearly identical levels.