San Diego Wave FC vs Angel City FC
Markets
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| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Angel City FC Winner | 99.0%Kalshi | $127.2K | — | — | — | — | — | ||
San Diego Wave FC | 0.1%Polymarket | $109.2K | — | — | — | — | — | ||
Draw | 0.5%Polymarket | $35.9K | — | — | — | — | — |
AI-generated summary, may be inaccurate.
This market covers the NWSL regular-season match between San Diego Wave FC and Angel City FC, originally scheduled for July 11, 2026. It is listed on both Polymarket and Kalshi, with three outcomes: a San Diego win, an Angel City win, or a draw. Per Kalshi's resolution terms, the result is settled after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalties excluded. San Diego Wave FC is the favourite, priced at a 53.5% consensus implied probability, with Polymarket at 53.5% and Kalshi slightly lower at 52.0%. A draw sits at a 26.0% consensus (Polymarket 26.0%, Kalshi 25.0%), while Angel City FC is the outsider at 24.0% consensus, quoted at 24.0% on Kalshi and 22.5% on Polymarket. The favourite's edge over the draw is roughly 27 points, and over Angel City about 29 points, indicating a clear but not overwhelming lean toward the home side. Cross-platform spreads are narrow, at 1.5 points on both San Diego and Angel City and 1.0 point on the draw. Overall, Polymarket and Kalshi are closely aligned, agreeing on San Diego as a modest favourite with only minor pricing differences on each outcome.
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