San Francisco vs Las Vegas

This event covers the San Francisco vs. Las Vegas Pro Football preseason game originally scheduled for August 27, 2026, with markets spread across Kalshi and Gemini. Alongside the moneyline, the listings include a wide range of derivatives: point spread, total points, quarter-by-quarter winners and totals, halves, and player props on Fernando Mendoza's passing yards and touchdowns. The bulk of the volume — nearly $2.94 million of the event's $3.39 million total — sits in Kalshi's moneyline market, with the spread and total points markets a distant second and third. Las Vegas is the moneyline favourite at a consensus 62.5%, with San Francisco at 38.5%. On the spread side, Kalshi prices Las Vegas -1.5 at 57.0% and -2.5 at 55.0%, implying a narrow but clear lean toward the Raiders as home-side favourites. Totals cluster around the high 30s: Over 37.5 sits at 52.0% on Kalshi and Over 38.5 at 51.0%, suggesting a projected combined score in that range. Cross-platform pricing is largely aligned. The moneyline shows the widest visible gap: Gemini has Las Vegas at 66.0% versus Kalshi's 63.0%, a one-point consensus spread, while San Francisco is 39.0% on Gemini against 38.0% on Kalshi. Overall, both venues agree Las Vegas is a modest favourite in a tightly priced game.