Saxony-Anhalt state election: AfD vote percent
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Result | Volume | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
At least 30% Winner | Won | — | — | No liquidity98.0% | — | — | — | — |
At least 35% Winner | Won | $200 | — | — | — | — | — | |
At least 38% Winner | Won | $254 | — | — | — | — | — | |
At least 40% Winner | Won | $214 | — | — | — | — | — | |
At least 42% Winner | Won | $1.4K | — | — | — | — | — | |
At least 44% | Lost | $1.7K | — | — | — | — | — | |
At least 46% | Lost | $258 | — | — | — | — | — | |
At least 48% | Lost | $180 | — | — | — | — | — | |
At least 50% | Lost | $277 | — | — | — | — | — |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
The percentage is the Alternative for Germany's share of the Landesstimme, the party list vote, calculated as votes received divided by total valid Landesstimmen cast, times 100, rounded to two decimal places. Resolution uses certified official results, not preliminary results. Invalid, spoiled and rejected ballots are excluded from both the numerator and the denominator. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond expiration, every market resolves to NO.
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