September 2026 Employment Combo · U3 & NFP — For Sep 2026
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Result | Volume | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 50-99k | Lost | $2.5K | — | — | — | — | — | |
U3: 4.2%, NFP growth: 50-99k | Lost | $479 | — | — | — | — | — | |
U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: 50-99k | Lost | $735 | — | — | — | — | — | |
U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: Below 50k | Lost | $1.8K | — | — | — | — | — | |
U3: 4.2%, NFP growth: Below 50k Winner | Won | $417 | — | — | — | — | — | |
U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: Below 50k | Lost | $835 | — | — | — | — | — | |
U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 100k or above | Lost | $3.2K | — | — | — | — | — | |
U3: 4.2%, NFP growth: 100k or above | Lost | $646 | — | — | — | — | — | |
U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: 100k or above | Lost | $583 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
For all outcomes in this market, U3 refers to the single-decimal seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3), and NFP growth refers to the seasonally adjusted over-the-month change in total nonfarm payroll employment, as reported in thousands of jobs by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation release. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: U3 uses ECONSTAT and NFP growth uses PAYROLLS. For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified). All conditions must be satisfied within the specified time period.
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