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Settled

Serbia vs Netherlands

Starts:Sep 27, 2026, 4:00 PMEnds:Sep 29, 2026, 10:00 PM
AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
ResolvedWinner:NetherlandsSettled Sep 27, 2026
Sports favorite hit rate72.3% (142,143)
Total volume
$5.1M
Largest spread
14.0%
Outcomes
3
Platforms
5
Markets
129

Markets

Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.

NetherlandsWinner
84.0%Best · Kalshi$2.0M
Polymarket USNo liquidity99.0%
DrawEliminated
0.1%Best · Polymarket$87.0K
Polymarket USEliminated
SerbiaEliminated
0.1%Best · Polymarket$552.4K
Polymarket USEliminated

AI-generated summary, may be inaccurate.

This event covers the UEFA Nations League match between Serbia and the Netherlands, scheduled for September 27, 2026. Across the connected platforms, bettors can price the moneyline (Serbia win, Draw, Netherlands win) as well as a wide range of side markets covering exact score, spread, total goals, corners, halftime result, and first team to score. On the headline three-way market, the Netherlands is the clear favourite at a 69.5% consensus implied probability, with quotes clustered tightly across venues: Azuro 72.5%, Kalshi 70.0%, Polymarket US 70.0%, Limitless 70.0%, and Polymarket 69.5%. A draw sits around 19.5% (Azuro 20.8%, Polymarket US 20.0%, Limitless 19.1%, Kalshi 19.0%, Polymarket 18.5%), while a Serbia win is priced near 11.5% (Azuro 13.3%, Kalshi 12.0%, Limitless 12.0%, Polymarket US 12.0%, Polymarket 11.0%). On totals, Kalshi shows Over 2.5 goals at 64.0% and Over 1.5 at 84.0%, with Netherlands to win by more than 1.5 goals at 46.0%. Cross-platform pricing is remarkably tight on the main markets, with the widest moneyline gap only about 3 points between Azuro and Polymarket on the Netherlands side.

Updated Sep 27, 2026, 11:19 AMclaude-opus-4-7new platform listed this event

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