Shaw vs Hurrion

This market covered the first-round meeting between Eva Shaw and Sophia Hurrion at the 2026 W15 Monastir ITF women's tournament, listed on both Kalshi and Polymarket. A "Yes" or "Eva Shaw" outcome resolves in favour of Shaw advancing after a ball is played, while the opposing side resolves for Hurrion. Both venues also carried ancillary lines on total games (over/under 2.5) tied to the same match. Pricing pointed overwhelmingly toward Shaw. Polymarket had her at 99.9% and Kalshi at 99.0%, giving a consensus around 99.9% and leaving Hurrion at just 1.0% on Kalshi and 0.4% on Polymarket. The games markets moved in the same direction, with the "Under" side priced at 99.5% on Polymarket against 0.5% for the "Over." Some post-match Polymarket lines already showed terminal prints of 100.0% on Shaw and Under and 0.0% on Hurrion and Over, consistent with the event's closed status. The cross-platform spreads were minimal: 0.9 points on Shaw between Kalshi and Polymarket, and 0.55 points on Hurrion. Overall, the two venues agreed that Shaw was a near-certain favourite, with Polymarket pricing her marginally shorter than Kalshi.