S&P 500 move on Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech day? — August 28, 2026
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
At least 0.50% | — | $413 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
At least 0.75% | — | $871 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
At least 1.00% | — | $539 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
At least 1.75% | — | $840 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
At least 2.00% | — | $724 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
At least 2.25% | — | $316 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
At least 2.50% | — | $2.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
At least 2.75% | — | $1.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
At least 3.00% | — | $2.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
At least 1.25% No liquidity | — | $23 | — | — | No liquidity22.0% | — | — | — | — |
At least 1.50% No liquidity | — | $47 | — | — | No liquidity20.0% | — | — | — | — |
Dimmed prices were last confirmed too long ago for the state of this event (in play, before the game, or long-dated) and are left out of consensus, best price and spread.
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
The absolute percentage change will be calculated using the official S&P 500 closing level for August 28, 2026 and the official S&P 500 closing level for the previous trading day. The S&P 500 Index refers to the S&P 500 price-return index, not the S&P 500 Total Return Index, S&P 500 futures, ETFs, or intraday values. The move will be calculated as |August 28, 2026 close - previous trading day close| / previous trading day close × 100. If the speech is delayed or cancelled, the market will still resolve based on the official S&P 500 closing level for August 28, 2026.
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