Spain vs Argentina
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Draw Winner | 99.0%Kalshi | $17.8M | — | — | — | — | |||
Ferran Torres | 99.0%Kalshi | $43.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Alex Baena | 1.0%Kalshi | $55.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Pedro Porro | 1.0%Kalshi | $53.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Martin Zubimendi: 1+ | 4.0%Kalshi | $6.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Pau Cubarsi | 1.0%Kalshi | $32.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Spain Eliminated | 0.7%Limitless | $30.3M | — | — | — | Eliminated$20.8M | — | ||
Argentina Eliminated | 0.2%Limitless | $33.4M | — | — | — | Eliminated$17.1M | — | ||
Cristian Romero | 1.0%Kalshi | $35.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Cristian Romero: 1+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $16.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Fabian Ruiz | 1.0%Kalshi | $36.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Aymeric Laporte | 1.0%Kalshi | $20.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Alex Baena: 2+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $35.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Alex Baena: 1+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $140.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Fabian Ruiz: 1+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $122.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Pedro Porro: 1+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $175.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Aymeric Laporte: 1+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $94.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Pau Cubarsi: 1+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $107.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Dani Olmo | 1.0%Kalshi | $92.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Marc Cucurella | 1.0%Kalshi | $66.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Pedro Porro: 2+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $452 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nico Gonzalez | 1.0%Kalshi | $21.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Rodrigo De Paul | 1.0%Kalshi | $18.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Gonzalo Montiel | 1.0%Kalshi | $9.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nicolas Tagliafico | 1.0%Kalshi | $9.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Lisandro Martinez | 1.0%Kalshi | $96.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nico Gonzalez: 1+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $80.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Gonzalo Montiel: 1+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $48.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Rodrigo De Paul: 1+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $119.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Lisandro Martinez: 1+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $99.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nicolas Tagliafico: 1+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $70.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Rodri | 1.0%Kalshi | $55.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nicolas Otamendi: 1+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $75.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nicolas Otamendi | 1.0%Kalshi | $3.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Leandro Paredes | 1.0%Kalshi | $1.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Leandro Paredes: 1+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $29.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Pedri | 1.0%Kalshi | $8.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nahuel Molina | 1.0%Kalshi | $1.2K | — | — | No liquidity2.0% | — | — | — | — |
Nahuel Molina: 1+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $42.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Facundo Medina | 1.0%Kalshi | $317 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Giuliano Simeone | 1.0%Kalshi | $5.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Giuliano Simeone: 1+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $40.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Facundo Medina: 1+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $22.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Mikel Merino | 1.0%Kalshi | $7.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nico Williams | 1.0%Kalshi | $12.6K | — | — | No liquidity1.0% | — | — | — | — |
Nico Williams: 1+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $248.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Eric Garcia: 1+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $817 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Marcos Senesi: 1+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $447 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
AI-generated summary, may be inaccurate.
Spain vs Argentina is a FIFA World Cup fixture scheduled for July 19, 2026, listed across Polymarket, Kalshi, Azuro and Limitless with a rich set of ancillary markets covering regulation moneyline, spreads, totals, halftime results, starting lineups and player goalscorers. The headline market is the regulation-time result: which side wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage, with a draw as the third outcome. On the moneyline, Spain is the narrow favourite at a 43.0% consensus, with Kalshi at 43.0% and Limitless at 41.1%, while Polymarket's listed 50.0% appears to be an uninitialised quote. Argentina sits at a 27.0% consensus (Kalshi 27.0%, Limitless 25.9%), and the draw at 33.0% (Kalshi 33.0%, Limitless 31.5%). That leaves Spain favoured over Argentina by roughly 16 points, but with the draw priced higher than Argentina — a classic tight-match shape rather than a clear mismatch. Cross-platform spreads are modest: Spain shows a 1.95-point gap between Kalshi and Limitless, the draw 1.50 points, and Argentina 1.15 points, with Limitless consistently the cheapest venue on all three outcomes. Elsewhere, Kalshi's totals lean goals-heavy (Over 0.5 at 91.0%, Over 1.5 at 71.0%, Over 2.5 at 42.0%). The takeaway: platforms broadly agree Spain is a slight favourite in a match the market still treats as competitive, with Limitless pricing every regulation outcome a shade lower than Kalshi.
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