Spain vs Belgium
Markets
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| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Spain Winner | 59.2%Azuro | $35.3M | — | — | — | ||||
Fabian Ruiz | 99.0%Kalshi | $38.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Timothy Castagne | 2.0%Kalshi | $17.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Fabian Ruiz: 1+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $76.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Timothy Castagne: 1+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $30.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Mikel Merino: 1+ | 99.0%Kalshi | $43.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Draw Eliminated | 1.0%Kalshi | $17.9M | — | — | Eliminated$6.5M | — | |||
Alexis Saelemaekers: 1+ | 20.0%Kalshi | $689 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Belgium Eliminated | 0.5%Limitless | $20.4M | — | — | Eliminated$11.1M | — | |||
Axel Witsel: 1+ | 14.0%Kalshi | $4.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Maxime De Cuyper | 9.0%Kalshi | $440 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Pedro Porro: 2+ | 9.0%Kalshi | $688 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Alex Baena: 2+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $7.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Rodri | 4.0%Kalshi | $2.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nico Williams: 1+ | 4.0%Kalshi | $20.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Pedro Porro | 1.0%Kalshi | $6.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Rodri: 2+ | 2.0%Kalshi | $1.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Pau Cubarsi | 1.0%Kalshi | $4.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Brandon Mechele | 1.0%Kalshi | $2.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nathan Ngoy | 1.0%Kalshi | $2.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nathan Ngoy: 1+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $15.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $4.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Ferran Torres | 1.0%Kalshi | $12.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Ferran Torres: 1+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $115.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Alex Baena | 1.0%Kalshi | $18.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nicolas Raskin | 1.0%Kalshi | $3.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Aymeric Laporte | 1.0%Kalshi | $1.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Alex Baena: 1+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $47.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Maxime De Cuyper: 1+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $7.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Pedro Porro: 1+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $26.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nicolas Raskin: 1+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $8.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Aymeric Laporte: 1+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $17.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Pau Cubarsi: 1+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $20.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Brandon Mechele: 1+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $26.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Fabian Ruiz: 2+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $40.8K | — | — | No liquidity21.0% | — | — | — | — |
Mikel Oyarzabal | 1.0%Kalshi | $134.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Dani Olmo | 1.0%Kalshi | $19.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Charles De Ketelaere | 1.0%Kalshi | $76.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Leandro Trossard | 1.0%Kalshi | $10.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Kevin De Bruyne | 1.0%Kalshi | $12.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Jeremy Doku | 1.0%Kalshi | $14.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Youri Tielemans | 1.0%Kalshi | $309.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Marc Cucurella | 1.0%Kalshi | $4.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Goal Diff Reg Time: Spain wins by more than 3.5 goals | 1.0%Kalshi | $29.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Over 6.5 goals scored | 1.0%Kalshi | $38.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Joaquin Seys: 1+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $1.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Senne Lammens: 1+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $426 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
AI-generated summary, may be inaccurate.
This event is a FIFA World Cup 2026 quarterfinal between Spain and Belgium at SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles, listed across Kalshi, Polymarket, Azuro and Limitless with dozens of side markets on top of the main moneyline. Spain and Belgium meet in a World Cup quarterfinal Friday at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California, with kickoff set for 3:00 PM ET, and the winner advances to face the winner of France vs. Morocco in the semifinals. The headline market — "Spain advances past Belgium" — has Spain as the favourite at a consensus 74.0% on Kalshi, while Belgium sits at 27.0% to advance. On the tighter 90-minute moneyline, Spain is priced almost identically across venues: 60.2% on Azuro, 60.8% on Limitless, and 60.0% on both Polymarket and Kalshi, with Belgium around 17.3% and the draw near 26.0%. That cross-platform agreement — spreads of under two points on the main lines — signals confident, well-arbitraged pricing. The favourite tag reflects Spain's tournament form. Five games, five clean sheets, nine goals scored and none conceded — a defensive record no one else has matched. In the round of 16, Luis de la Fuente's side needed a 91st-minute Mikel Merino substitute goal to edge Portugal 1-0 in Dallas. Belgium arrive with momentum but bruises: the loss of Amadou Onana, who suffered a torn ACL against Senegal and is out for the rest of the competition, is a significant blow to the team's midfield engine, though Kevin De Bruyne is set to return to Belgium's starting lineup after being rested entirely for the win over the USA. That defensive story is echoed in the derivative markets: Under 2.5 goals reads around 75.5% on Polymarket, Both Teams to Score "No" trades heavily favoured, and Mikel Oyarzabal leads goalscorer pricing at 53.0% on Kalshi. Across all four venues, the take
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