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Spanish general election winner? — In 2027

Starts:Jul 15, 2025, 2:00 PMEnds:Aug 21, 2028, 2:00 PM
AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Politics favorite hit rate95.3% (1,754)
Total volume
$16.9K
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
4
Platforms
1
Markets
1

Markets

Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.

People's PartyFavorite
83.0%Best · Kalshi$10.5K
Spanish Socialist Workers' Party
19.0%Best · Kalshi$3.6K

Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.

For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details. Clarification (10/06/26): For purposes of this Contract, seats won by the Socialists’ Party of Catalonia (PSC-PSOE) count toward the Spanish Socialist Workers’ Party (PSOE).

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