Spirit vs MOUZ

Spirit and MOUZ meet in a best-of-three Counter-Strike 2 match in the ESL Pro League. Polymarket describes it as Semifinal 2 of the playoffs, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, and the market is currently live. The two outcomes are simple: "MOUZ" resolves if MOUZ win the match, and "Spirit" resolves if Spirit win. Rules for edge cases differ by venue. Polymarket and Limitless settle cancellations at 50-50, while Kalshi uses a fair-market-price settlement for postponements, cancellations or pre-play forfeits. MOUZ is the narrow favourite at a 54.5% consensus, with Spirit at 45.5%. Polymarket, Polymarket US and Limitless all have MOUZ's midpoint at 54.5%, while Kalshi is slightly lower at 53.0%. For Spirit, Kalshi's midpoint is 46.5% against 45.5% on Polymarket and Polymarket US. Limitless's Spirit quote was excluded as stale. Azuro is listed but has no liquidity. Most trading activity is on Polymarket, about $2.14 million of the event's roughly $2.51 million total, with Kalshi accounting for about $242,000. A nine-point gap between the teams suggests the market sees this as a fairly competitive match with a modest lean toward MOUZ. Kalshi prices MOUZ at 53.0% compared with 54.5% elsewhere, a 1.5-point difference. That is small, and the reported cross-platform spread is 0.00 points. Across platforms, pricing is closely aligned: MOUZ is a slight favourite everywhere, and Kalshi leans only marginally more toward Spirit.